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Semifinal pool 32015 Ventura Regional
Red149
420153.4
351244.4
397032.5
Blue158
183633.5
69641.2
513724.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12583050100150200250149158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#4
53.40.4
51.0→51.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.5
End0.0
red by 12.3
696
#5
41.21.1
39.0→40.1
Auto4.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
3512
#3
44.40.4
42.0→42.4
Auto0.3
Teleop44.1
End0.0
red by 10.9
1836
#10
33.51.1
31.4→32.4
Auto0.1
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
3970
#19
32.50.4
30.0→30.4
Auto0.7
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 8.0
5137
#21
24.41.1
22.3→23.3
Auto1.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0