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Red186
385925.1
97376.7
325626.8
Blue30
60427.8
68723.2
76615.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11454010015020025018630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#6
76.73.9
59.763.5
Auto0.2
Teleop76.5
End0.0
red by 48.9
604
#18
27.81.5
25.624.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
3256
#26
26.83.9
27.631.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 3.5
687
#15
23.21.5
22.320.8
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
3859
#14
25.14.3
21.225.5
Auto-1.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 9.2
766
#28
15.91.5
17.616.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0