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Red126
135121.3
76615.9
97376.7
Blue50
454317.2
208558.6
207316.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107105608012014016018012650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#6
76.71.0
63.564.5
Auto0.2
Teleop76.5
End0.0
red by 18.0
2085
#10
58.63.1
62.259.1
Auto0.4
Teleop58.3
End0.0
Second
1351
#23
21.31.0
27.328.3
Auto1.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 4.1
4543
#31
17.23.1
32.028.9
Auto1.6
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
766
#28
15.91.0
16.117.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 0.4
2073
#27
16.23.1
18.415.2
Auto1.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0