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Red34
96818.0
84638.3
213517.0
Blue12
135121.3
501216.0
454317.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607501001502002503003503412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#24
38.31.5
39.437.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 17.0
1351
#23
21.33.2
28.325.1
Auto1.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
968
#30
18.01.5
5.13.5
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 0.8
4543
#31
17.23.2
28.925.7
Auto1.6
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
2135
#29
17.01.5
20.519.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 0.9
5012
#22
16.03.2
18.615.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0