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Red176
325626.8
330972.3
347691.8
Blue260
254125.7
97376.7
207316.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164192050100250300350400176260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.80.1
74.374.4
Auto-1.1
Teleop92.8
End0.0
blue by 34.0
254
#1
125.73.3
115.0118.3
Auto16.2
Teleop109.6
End0.0
Second
72.30.1
69.269.3
Auto11.4
Teleop61.0
End0.0
blue by 4.3
973
#6
76.73.3
64.567.7
Auto0.2
Teleop76.5
End0.0
Third
3256
#26
26.80.1
31.231.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 10.5
2073
#27
16.23.3
15.218.5
Auto1.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0