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Red70
207316.2
11528.5
67036.4
Blue210
97195.6
60427.8
97376.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64184010015020025030035070210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#11
36.40.8
42.541.7
Auto0.2
Teleop36.2
End0.0
blue by 59.2
971
#4
95.61.9
77.479.3
Auto2.7
Teleop93.0
End0.0
Second
115
#13
28.50.8
27.026.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 48.2
973
#6
76.71.9
70.572.4
Auto0.2
Teleop76.5
End0.0
Third
2073
#27
16.20.8
16.415.6
Auto1.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 11.6
604
#18
27.81.9
23.625.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0