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Red140
198376.3
208558.6
69631.1
Blue110
186817.7
1678100.9
385925.1
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16813850100150200250140110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.31.5
72.871.3
Auto0.8
Teleop75.5
End0.0
blue by 24.6
100.91.9
98.296.3
Auto12.6
Teleop88.3
End0.0
Second
2085
#10
58.61.5
60.759.2
Auto0.4
Teleop58.3
End0.0
red by 33.5
3859
#14
25.11.9
26.224.3
Auto-1.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Third
696
#25
31.11.5
36.134.6
Auto2.5
Teleop28.5
End0.0
red by 13.3
1868
#21
17.71.9
23.321.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.3
End0.0