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Red140
254125.7
68723.2
213517.0
Blue214
84638.3
347691.8
208558.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14817250100200250300140214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
125.70.9
119.6118.8
Auto16.2
Teleop109.6
End0.0
red by 34.0
91.82.0
78.280.2
Auto-1.1
Teleop92.8
End0.0
Second
687
#15
23.20.9
21.520.6
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 35.4
2085
#10
58.62.0
59.261.2
Auto0.4
Teleop58.3
End0.0
Third
2135
#29
17.00.9
16.015.2
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 21.4
846
#24
38.32.0
36.738.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.4
End0.0