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Red90
84126.0
50269.9
11528.5
Blue88
385925.1
213517.0
207316.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52510204060801009088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#13
28.52.2
27.029.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 3.4
3859
#14
25.11.7
24.326.0
Auto-1.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Second
841
#17
26.02.2
20.622.8
Auto0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 9.0
2135
#29
17.01.7
15.216.9
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
5026
#20
9.92.2
4.46.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 6.3
2073
#27
16.21.7
14.916.6
Auto1.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0