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Red203
98797.6
282695.2
251248.2
Blue246
167154.9
118106.4
1678100.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230258100150200300350400203246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
97.60.7
98.297.6
Auto7.3
Teleop90.3
End0.0
blue by 8.8
118
Unranked
106.40.3
106.7106.4
Auto10.9
Teleop95.5
End0.0
Second
2826
Unranked
95.20.7
95.995.2
Auto12.6
Teleop82.6
End0.0
blue by 5.4
1678
Unranked
100.60.3
100.8100.6
Auto10.6
Teleop89.9
End0.0
Third
2512
Unranked
48.20.7
48.948.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
blue by 6.7
1671
Unranked
54.90.3
55.254.9
Auto-3.0
Teleop57.8
End0.0