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Qual 112015 Colorado Regional
Red79
494422.0
455033.1
101126.3
Blue65
438821.5
133941.1
287420.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6541020801001201407965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#29
33.10.9
31.8→32.7
Auto0.0
Teleop33.1
End0.0
blue by 8.0
1339
#4
41.11.0
25.0→26.0
Auto1.1
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Second
1011
#14
26.30.8
18.6→19.4
Auto0.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 4.8
4388
#26
21.51.5
9.9→11.4
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
4944
#38
22.01.3
13.1→14.4
Auto0.7
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 1.7
2874
#17
20.31.0
11.8→12.9
Auto0.1
Teleop20.2
End0.0