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Qual 142015 Colorado Regional
Red85
320046.1
323937.7
406822.5
Blue5
197715.0
364821.0
224021.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72420100150200855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#3
46.10.8
34.9→35.7
Auto1.0
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 24.4
2240
#19
21.73.1
17.7→14.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
3239
#6
37.70.9
25.1→25.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 16.7
3648
#25
21.03.1
15.0→11.9
Auto0.3
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
4068
#36
22.51.3
9.5→10.8
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 7.6
1977
#32
15.03.1
15.1→12.1
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0