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Qual 242015 Colorado Regional
Red157
133221.3
161976.6
80135.3
Blue108
449939.1
197715.0
438821.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116400100150200250157108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
76.62.4
65.8→68.3
Auto0.9
Teleop75.7
End0.0
red by 37.5
4499
#10
39.12.7
30.0→32.7
Auto1.9
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
801
#5
35.32.4
21.3→23.7
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 13.8
4388
#26
21.54.5
11.4→15.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
1332
#28
21.32.4
21.1→23.5
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 6.4
1977
#32
15.04.5
12.1→16.6
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0