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Red80
299642.1
15911.4
287420.3
Blue184
328831.5
161976.6
323937.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51127010015020025030080184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#12
42.10.8
36.737.5
Auto2.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0
blue by 34.6
76.63.2
68.371.5
Auto0.9
Teleop75.7
End0.0
Second
2874
#17
20.30.8
12.012.8
Auto0.1
Teleop20.2
End0.0
blue by 17.4
37.73.2
26.930.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Third
159
#48
11.40.8
16.216.9
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 20.2
31.53.2
24.928.1
Auto0.1
Teleop31.5
End0.0