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Red61
158323.2
438613.9
549312.9
Blue93
320046.1
69824.1
197715.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28790501001502006193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1583
#24
23.22.5
15.417.9
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 22.9
46.11.0
37.738.6
Auto1.0
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Second
4386
#45
13.92.5
9.311.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 10.2
698
#13
24.11.0
19.620.5
Auto0.1
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
5493
#43
12.92.5
12.014.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
1977
#32
15.01.6
16.618.2
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0