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Red40
380715.8
130320.4
459319.3
Blue105
203620.7
66242.0
101126.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3077020406010012014016040105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1303
#20
20.40.1
17.317.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 21.6
662
#9
42.01.6
43.044.6
Auto0.8
Teleop41.2
End0.0
Second
4593
#33
19.30.1
8.78.8
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 7.0
1011
#14
26.31.6
18.920.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Third
3807
#41
15.80.1
12.512.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 4.9
2036
#39
20.72.7
11.013.7
Auto0.0
Teleop20.7
End0.0