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Qual 42015 Colorado Regional
Red157
224021.7
449939.1
548930.4
Blue84
124512.5
297227.1
328831.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5851020408010012014015784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#10
39.16.0
25.4→31.4
Auto1.9
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 7.5
3288
#7
31.51.7
19.3→21.0
Auto0.1
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
5489
#15
30.46.0
24.2→30.2
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 3.2
2972
#23
27.11.9
22.4→24.3
Auto0.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
2240
#19
21.78.2
9.6→17.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 9.2
1245
#44
12.52.5
11.9→14.5
Auto0.5
Teleop12.0
End0.0