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Qual 542015 Colorado Regional
Red123
133941.1
406822.5
364821.0
Blue101
459319.3
449939.1
133221.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64635060708090100110123101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#4
41.12.8
30.8→33.7
Auto1.1
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 2.0
4499
#10
39.11.8
34.6→36.4
Auto1.9
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
4068
#36
22.54.7
15.4→20.1
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 1.2
1332
#28
21.31.8
21.3→23.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
3648
#25
21.04.7
20.2→25.0
Auto0.3
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 1.7
4593
#33
19.33.0
9.6→12.5
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0