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Qual 562015 Colorado Regional
Red20
438613.9
548930.4
197715.0
Blue44
208319.3
130320.4
494422.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594902040801001201402044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5489
#15
30.42.0
30.6→28.7
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 8.4
4944
#38
22.00.2
18.0→17.8
Auto0.7
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
1977
#32
15.03.3
14.3→11.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 5.4
1303
#20
20.40.2
17.8→17.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
4386
#45
13.93.3
14.2→11.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2083
#42
19.30.2
16.2→16.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0