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Red42
297227.1
15911.4
69824.1
Blue23
124512.5
372910.8
548513.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703502060801001201401604223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#23
27.11.2
28.126.9
Auto0.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 13.5
5485
#46
13.61.1
9.98.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
698
#13
24.11.2
23.121.8
Auto0.1
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 11.6
1245
#44
12.51.1
18.417.3
Auto0.5
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
159
#48
11.41.2
15.414.2
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 0.6
3729
#47
10.81.1
13.412.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0