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Red38
328831.5
441826.0
380715.8
Blue8
124512.5
22598.9
158323.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68440100150388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.1
27.226.1
Auto0.1
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 8.3
1583
#24
23.23.2
22.018.8
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
4418
#16
26.01.8
25.523.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 13.6
1245
#44
12.53.2
17.314.2
Auto0.5
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
3807
#41
15.81.8
13.812.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 6.9
2259
#50
8.93.2
9.66.4
Auto0.3
Teleop8.6
End0.0