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Red116
173076.7
549312.9
459319.3
Blue108
455033.1
224021.7
328831.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10573050150200116108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.70.9
75.075.9
Auto12.9
Teleop63.8
End0.0
red by 43.6
4550
#29
33.11.4
31.332.6
Auto0.0
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
4593
#33
19.31.2
17.118.3
Auto1.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 12.2
31.51.4
28.930.3
Auto0.1
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
5493
#43
12.91.2
11.712.9
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 8.7
2240
#19
21.71.8
20.222.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0