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Red207
23059.7
19566.2
206429.6
Blue174
217050.9
206762.3
346416.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14911750100200250207174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
66.21.0
64.265.2
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 3.9
62.30.8
61.061.8
Auto1.4
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Second
230
#3
59.71.0
57.758.7
Auto5.0
Teleop54.7
End0.0
red by 8.8
50.90.8
49.650.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Third
2064
#33
29.61.0
27.728.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 12.9
3464
#38
16.80.8
15.516.3
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0