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Red194
23059.7
19566.2
206429.6
Blue107
199134.6
174022.3
55833.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14875050100200250194107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
66.20.9
61.562.4
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 31.6
1991
#16
34.60.3
34.034.3
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
230
#3
59.70.9
55.055.9
Auto5.0
Teleop54.7
End0.0
red by 25.8
558
#25
33.80.3
33.233.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.9
End0.0
Third
2064
#33
29.60.9
25.025.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 7.4
1740
#13
22.30.3
21.622.0
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0