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Red182
217050.9
206762.3
346416.8
Blue108
199134.6
174022.3
55833.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12180050100150200250182108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.31.0
58.759.8
Auto1.4
Teleop60.9
End0.0
red by 27.7
1991
#16
34.60.3
34.334.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
50.91.0
47.448.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.1
End0.0
red by 17.0
558
#25
33.80.3
33.533.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.9
End0.0
Third
3464
#38
16.81.0
13.314.3
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 5.5
1740
#13
22.30.3
22.022.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0