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Red84
574620.5
405543.4
57132.0
Blue117
283636.9
206429.6
17823.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75530204010012014016084117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#11
43.40.5
36.136.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
red by 6.5
36.92.9
18.221.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
571
#26
32.00.5
26.426.8
Auto1.0
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
2064
#33
29.62.9
18.821.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
5746
#28
20.50.5
11.712.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 2.4
178
#35
23.02.9
21.724.6
Auto0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0