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Red71
278525.2
283636.9
457223.7
Blue98
46724.0
112437.2
199134.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496801001502002507198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.8
21.122.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
blue by 0.2
1124
#18
37.21.5
26.828.3
Auto2.8
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Second
2785
#22
25.20.8
16.717.6
Auto0.4
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 9.3
1991
#16
34.61.5
26.327.8
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Third
4572
#17
23.70.8
16.417.2
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
467
#21
24.01.5
14.816.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0