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Red118
363424.9
206762.3
23641.4
Blue86
462812.8
17732.8
9523.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10143015020011886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.31.7
44.546.2
Auto1.4
Teleop60.9
End0.0
red by 29.5
177
#12
32.81.6
20.321.9
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
236
#15
41.41.7
36.137.8
Auto5.6
Teleop35.8
End0.0
red by 18.2
95
#36
23.21.6
26.828.4
Auto0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
3634
#19
24.91.7
15.216.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 12.1
4628
#32
12.81.6
6.98.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop13.5
End0.0