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Red64
346416.8
112437.2
457223.7
Blue17
17823.0
365418.1
409722.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58562040801006417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
#18
37.20.3
29.930.2
Auto2.8
Teleop34.3
End0.0
red by 14.2
178
#35
23.01.8
22.821.0
Auto0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
4572
#17
23.70.3
17.317.5
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 1.8
4097
#37
22.01.8
20.418.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Third
3464
#38
16.80.3
11.711.9
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3654
#31
18.11.8
16.514.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.9
End0.0