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Red101
278525.2
199134.6
18126.5
Blue106
174022.3
363424.9
455725.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664102080100120140160101106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#16
34.61.8
27.929.7
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 8.9
4557
#20
25.73.0
19.522.5
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
181
#24
26.51.8
20.222.0
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
3634
#19
24.93.0
15.718.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
2785
#22
25.21.8
16.318.1
Auto0.4
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
1740
#13
22.33.0
11.014.0
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0