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Red88
18126.5
310416.6
169935.8
Blue108
55833.8
457223.7
9523.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337205010015020088108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.82.4
19.321.7
Auto1.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 2.0
558
#25
33.82.0
30.632.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.9
End0.0
Second
181
#24
26.52.4
16.218.6
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 2.7
4572
#17
23.72.0
14.416.4
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
3104
#29
16.62.4
4.97.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 6.6
95
#36
23.22.0
23.825.7
Auto0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0