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Red36
206429.6
57132.0
514218.3
Blue38
455725.7
18126.5
9523.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607401001502002503003504003638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#26
32.01.4
29.728.3
Auto1.0
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 5.5
181
#24
26.51.8
23.221.4
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
2064
#33
29.61.4
24.723.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 4.0
4557
#20
25.71.8
22.820.9
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Third
5142
#23
18.31.4
10.18.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 4.9
95
#36
23.21.8
28.226.4
Auto0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0