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Red86
174022.3
574620.5
23641.4
Blue118
206762.3
365418.1
83931.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649305015020025086118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#15
41.40.7
38.339.1
Auto5.6
Teleop35.8
End0.0
blue by 20.9
62.31.3
49.250.5
Auto1.4
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Second
1740
#13
22.30.7
16.717.5
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 9.1
839
#14
31.41.3
26.928.2
Auto0.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
5746
#28
20.50.7
16.016.8
Auto0.5
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 2.5
3654
#31
18.11.3
15.717.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.9
End0.0