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Red110
19566.2
310416.6
457223.7
Blue37
568611.0
346416.8
199134.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8154010015020011037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
66.21.5
52.053.5
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 31.6
1991
#16
34.61.2
30.028.9
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
4572
#17
23.71.5
17.619.1
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 7.0
3464
#38
16.81.2
14.513.3
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
3104
#29
16.61.5
10.011.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 5.7
5686
#40
11.01.2
15.714.5
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0