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Red54
318222.5
405543.4
346416.8
Blue85
314638.8
112437.2
574620.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63800501001502002505485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#11
43.40.7
38.637.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
red by 4.7
38.80.2
35.135.3
Auto1.3
Teleop37.4
End0.0
Second
3182
#34
22.50.7
20.119.4
Auto1.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 14.7
1124
#18
37.20.2
28.729.0
Auto2.8
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Third
3464
#38
16.80.7
9.58.8
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5746
#28
20.50.2
16.716.9
Auto0.5
Teleop20.1
End0.0