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Red130
17732.8
574620.5
23059.7
Blue88
57132.0
355519.3
199134.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927505010015013088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
59.72.2
49.651.7
Auto5.0
Teleop54.7
End0.0
red by 25.1
1991
#16
34.60.4
27.828.2
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
177
#12
32.82.2
26.028.2
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 0.8
571
#26
32.00.4
32.432.7
Auto1.0
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Third
5746
#28
20.52.2
16.919.1
Auto0.5
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 1.2
3555
#27
19.30.4
20.420.8
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0