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Red96
17539.3
574620.5
18126.5
Blue148
17732.8
46724.0
19566.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311005015020025096148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#8
39.30.7
36.237.0
Auto0.9
Teleop38.4
End0.0
blue by 26.9
195
#1
66.22.0
57.559.5
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
181
#24
26.50.7
24.525.2
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
177
#12
32.82.0
28.430.4
Auto1.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Third
5746
#28
20.50.7
20.521.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 3.5
467
#21
24.02.0
22.224.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0