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Red63
83931.4
363424.9
355519.3
Blue154
457223.7
206762.3
17823.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions709705015020025030063154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#14
31.40.4
32.832.4
Auto0.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 30.9
62.32.9
53.155.9
Auto1.4
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Second
3634
#19
24.90.4
25.525.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 1.1
4572
#17
23.72.9
23.025.9
Auto0.5
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
3555
#27
19.30.4
18.718.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 3.7
178
#35
23.02.9
20.123.0
Auto0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0