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Red138
405543.4
199134.6
17333.4
Blue83
409722.0
355519.3
18126.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10652015020025013883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#11
43.41.8
39.541.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
red by 16.9
181
#24
26.51.0
25.226.2
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
1991
#16
34.61.8
32.134.0
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 12.6
4097
#37
22.01.0
19.320.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Third
173
#10
33.41.8
30.131.9
Auto0.1
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 14.1
3555
#27
19.31.0
18.319.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0