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Red190
283636.9
206762.3
19566.2
Blue113
318222.5
409722.0
99941.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160630100200250300190113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
66.22.0
59.561.5
Auto-1.5
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 25.2
999
#6
41.01.6
39.140.7
Auto0.0
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
62.32.0
55.957.9
Auto1.4
Teleop60.9
End0.0
red by 39.8
3182
#34
22.51.6
20.922.5
Auto1.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
36.92.0
34.736.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 15.0
4097
#37DQ
22.01.6
20.322.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0