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Red185
217050.9
206762.3
346416.8
Blue112
17333.4
314638.8
9523.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12485050100150200250185112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.31.0
59.860.8
Auto1.4
Teleop60.9
End0.0
red by 23.5
38.80.3
38.338.6
Auto1.3
Teleop37.4
End0.0
Second
50.91.0
48.449.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.1
End0.0
red by 17.5
173
#10
33.40.3
32.933.2
Auto0.1
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Third
3464
#38
16.81.0
14.315.3
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 6.4
95
#36
23.20.3
22.723.0
Auto0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0