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Red154
17555.3
99961.0
17643.9
Blue120
217065.3
15547.8
23735.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15714150100200250154120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#2
61.00.0
61.061.0
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
blue by 4.4
2170
#14
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
Second
175
#7
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
red by 7.5
155
#11
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.4
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Third
176
#19
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 8.7
237
#27
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0