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Qual 192015 Connecticut State Championship
Red132
355519.3
19586.2
283672.3
Blue114
22829.0
17555.3
217065.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17813850100200250132114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
86.20.0
86.2→86.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
red by 20.8
2170
#14
65.30.0
65.3→65.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
Second
2836
#1
72.30.0
72.3→72.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
red by 17.0
175
#7
55.30.0
55.3→55.3
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
Third
3555
#15
19.30.0
19.3→19.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 9.7
228
#8
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0