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Red64
112447.8
365418.1
23735.3
Blue94
174022.3
568611.0
355519.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108400501502006494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
#12
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
red by 25.6
1740
#16
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
237
#27
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
red by 16.0
3555
#15
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
3654
#30
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
5686
#26
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0