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Red60
17624.8
217026.8
371813.7
Blue60
331423.3
206725.2
109910.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655401001506060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.1
27.127.0
Auto0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
25.20.0
25.125.1
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
176
#6
24.80.1
25.024.9
Auto0.8
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 1.5
23.30.0
23.123.1
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
3718
#23
13.70.1
14.013.9
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
1099
#30
10.00.0
9.89.9
Auto0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0