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Red56
17624.8
217026.8
371813.7
Blue54
112416.0
405526.9
574611.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665001001502005654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.2
27.026.8
Auto0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
176
#6
24.80.2
24.924.8
Auto0.8
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 8.8
1124
#15
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
3718
#23
13.70.2
13.913.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 2.1
5746
#20
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto0.5
Teleop11.1
End0.0