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Red4
109910.0
457214.4
46284.9
Blue30
206725.2
371813.7
283618.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29470100150430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4572
#25
14.42.4
9.36.9
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 10.8
25.21.3
23.021.7
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
1099
#30
10.02.4
14.211.8
Auto0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 8.2
2836
#10
18.21.3
10.69.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
4628
#33
4.92.4
9.47.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 8.8
3718
#23
13.71.3
12.210.9
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0