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Red9
34647.4
22815.3
15516.6
Blue67
55821.3
455715.5
109910.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42320206080100120967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#19
16.62.8
17.414.6
Auto0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 4.7
558
#13
21.32.7
14.717.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
228
#24
15.32.8
12.39.5
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4557
#14
15.52.7
12.715.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
3464
#34
7.42.8
12.79.9
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1099
#30
10.02.7
7.710.3
Auto0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0