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Red76
365411.9
206418.8
23034.7
Blue28
37807.6
34647.4
199116.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483602060801001201401607628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
34.72.4
22.124.4
Auto1.6
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 18.0
1991
#18
16.60.6
15.916.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
2064
#11
18.82.4
15.117.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 11.2
3780
#29DQ
7.60.6
8.89.4
Auto0.7
Teleop6.9
End0.0
Third
3654
#21
11.92.4
10.512.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 4.5
3464
#34
7.40.6
14.114.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End0.0