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Red8
23635.1
109910.0
371813.7
Blue17
206418.8
51426.8
455715.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572604080100120140160817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#1
35.13.6
31.127.5
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 16.3
2064
#11
18.81.1
15.113.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
3718
#23
13.73.3
9.56.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4557
#14
15.51.1
12.111.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
1099
#30
10.03.3
13.410.1
Auto0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 3.2
5142
#32
6.81.1
4.63.6
Auto0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0